![]() While technically players can buy better tanks and robots, this genre keeps things competitive by having very critical strengths and weaknesses for each class. Power progression also unlocks tremendous retention and monetization potential compared to Battle Pass. This is again done with the target audience in mind who appreciate skill elements but tend to appreciate winning even more. There’s always a very steep class-based power progression curve where a better tier vehicle has more armor, more health and more firepower than a lower tier one. Both elements are highly appreciated by the target audience. Slower core gameplay also increases the tactical aspects and creates more demand for teamplay. This makes the game more accessible for mature male players who like to take their time to make their shot. Successful tactical shooters feature a vehicle or a machine to focus on slower gameplay. Within this group, Crossfire (originally a 2007 PC game) has been dominant in this category up to fall 2019, when Call of Duty Mobile was launched. This sub-category is for games focused on modes like team deathmatch. Separate from Battle Royale, we’ve carved out “Classic PvP Shooters”. This will lock up this genre further, making it difficult for any other publisher of smaller size to compete. In 2020 we should see more publishers join the fray, with EA launching Apex Legends for Mobile. As a new developer entering this space you’d be competing with massive brands (PUBG, Fortnite) alongside some of the strongest publishers (Tencent, Epic, NetEase). Thus, this sub-category is hyper-competitive with a very high initial investment cliff. The likely scenario is that new entrants will need to find radically different audiences in order to grow to the scale needed to be effective as cosmetic economies. Pair the locked up geography and demographics with a light monetization scheme requiring scale and this segment is near impossible for new entrants. Cosmetic focused economies are incredibly expensive to run effectively, and only pay off at scale. This is what it takes to make a cosmetic economy effective, and why small developers have very little chance in this genre. Fortnite developer Epic has been creating over 200 new unique items for each season - with more than 80 of these items being a full geometry change outfit. These can be lucrative but requires a massive pipeline of quality cosmetics in order to be effective. The genre’s key revenue driver are Battle Passes. The audience prefers fair competition, so the leaders have focused on making cosmetics as impactful as possible. Wildlife’s Zooba) have been experimenting with “Brawl Stars” like stat progression inside of a Battle Royale, these games have failed to reach the same scale or hit the same retention numbers as PUBG and Fortnite. ![]() Because of the way Battle Royale is structured, players starting off with any strategic advantage would be seen as unfair. This category has a lot of limitations in terms of monetization. PUBG Mobile/Game for Peace dominates in China partially because of the recent regulation changes - making it near impossible for Fortnite to launch there. For example, NetEase developed Knives Out with a japanese local developer, Garena Free Fire have optimized their game for lower tier devices and have years of experience growing games in south east asia. Each have leveraged their core competitive advantage to own their audience. Each top game carves out a niche and owns it: PUBG Mobile owns China, Knives Out in Japan, Garena Free Fire in second tier markets, Fortnite with young players in the west, and Call of Duty (technically a PvP Shooter) owns the more mature players in the west. What’s interesting is how locked up Battle Royale is geographically and demographically.
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